Will Chris Moneymaker cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?
Will Chris Moneymaker cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?
Current stageCurrent stageThe app maps Polymarket and UMA data into one dispute path. This stage is the best current read from cached market, oracle, and voting data.
UMA final review
Escalated to UMA DVM
NO
Beginner mapBeginner mapA plain-English layer over the raw UMA and Polymarket data. It explains the current stage, likely next step, and what signal matters most.
UMA final review
70% through visible path
What is happening
UMA validators are deciding the final answer through commit/reveal voting.
Likely next
UMA settled: Votes reveal publicly, then the final outcome can be settled on-chain.
What to watch
Before reveal, outcomes are hidden. After reveal, watch revealed voting power by outcome.
Trader readoutTrader readoutA short summary of the next meaningful event. It is not advice; it tells you what process step can change the dispute next.
Resolution timelineResolution timelineThis turns raw Polymarket and UMA events into a single beginner-friendly path. Green steps are passed, blue is current, grey is still ahead.
UMA final review
PassedPassedStages already detected as complete.
7
Left
Pro function
Final Time Left
Pro shows the estimated time remaining until the market reaches final resolution.
UMA DVM voteUMA DVM voteUMA token holders vote on the final answer. Votes are hidden in commit phase, then become public in reveal phase.
Validator participation and outcome pressure
This panel explains how many validators have committed, how much UMA voting power has revealed, and which outcome is leading after reveal starts.
WAITINGLOW SIGNAL 7%
Committed walletsCommitted walletsWallets that locked a hidden vote hash. During commit phase, you can count voters but cannot see their chosen outcome.
0
Source-backed data
Oracle, bond and evidence details
Normalized records persisted from Polygon, UMA subgraphs, Gamma and the Polymarket CLOB.
79% complete ยท 3 missing
Proposal
Proposer
0xdf08...133f
Proposed outcome
NO
Bond
500000000
Challenge deadline
Jul 21, 2026, 11:05 PM
Custom liveness
0
Event-based request
yes
Bond flow
Amounts use the raw source units returned by UMA.
Proposer bond (raw)
500000000
Disputer bond (raw)
500000000
Reward (raw)
5000000
Final fee (raw)
250000000
Settlement payout (raw)
Not available
Settlement recipient
Not available
Evidence
Persistent source records attached by an authorized administrator.
Estimated or exact time until the current stage can move. Exact means timestamped data was available; estimated means the app inferred it from the stage.
est. 24-72h
Timing qualityTiming qualityShows whether timing comes from concrete timestamps or from a stage-based estimate.
Estimated from current stage
Data freshnessData freshnessHow fresh the cached market and oracle data is. Cards open from cache first, then scheduled sync keeps them updated.
Polymarket Gamma updated at 2026-07-22T03:19:57.254Z
CoverageCoverageTells you whether the app has indexed on-chain data, Gamma fallback data, or partial coverage for this market.
Revealed walletsRevealed walletsWallets that revealed the actual vote. Revealed votes are what make outcome groups meaningful.
0
Committed UMACommitted UMATotal UMA voting power behind hidden committed votes.
0 UMA
Revealed UMARevealed UMAUMA voting power that is now public. Higher revealed power makes the visible outcome signal stronger.
0 UMA
ParticipationParticipationShare of available round stake that has revealed. In commit phase this is unavailable because outcomes are still hidden.
Not available yet
Round stakeRound stakeApproximate UMA stake base for this round. Use it to judge how complete participation is.
0 UMA
RoundRoundUMA voting round id. Multiple markets can share a round when they are voted on together.
10329
Reveal statusReveal statusReveal is when hidden commit votes become public. Before that, outcome groups cannot be trusted because choices are not visible.
Waiting for UMA round
Outcome groupsOutcome groupsRevealed votes grouped by answer, such as YES or NO. This appears only after voters reveal their hidden commit votes.
Reveal has not produced public outcomes yet. Waiting for UMA round
Top validator walletsValidator walletsWallets participating in the UMA vote. They are hidden by default because the list can be long and noisy for beginners.Show 0Hide
Committed wallets will appear after the round is indexed.
Confidence: Reveal data is not available yet, so confidence is based on participation only. Commit-phase choices stay hidden until validators reveal.